Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both guys come into this fight on career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a big factor and there’s a few more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with full power and relies on completing competitions. In a five round fight this strategy is a risky one that is going to backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of his own but conserves cardio to get a more consistent output. On the feet both guys can have their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the ground. As Santos tires that the takedowns will be available and Santos has struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills should find Blachowicz a complete when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is quick with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing in some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the toes using a riskier style. He keeps his hands low but does throw aggressive combinations. The major differential lies in the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown good takedown defense on the regional scene and is based on high hazard admissions off his back. This strategy succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and search for trips and takedowns to the mat where he favours top and control position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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