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UFC FN143 Betting Tips & Plays

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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins finish, TJ looks sharp and has shown himself well prepared for the 125lb division. On the feet he should have an important advantage over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, combined with his unorthodox fashion, will allow him to land serious volume contrary to the more limited wrestler. Furthermore leg kicks are a mortal option against the front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will be needing takedowns and significant top control if he’s to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has exceptional wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s chances to shoot and on the floor he is going to be hard to control for long periods. Overall the path to victory appears slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is an established finisher who conveys good aerobic and far superior volume to win over 5 rounds. The wager is TJ Dillashaw to function as dual champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some flaws to their game but stylistically that is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is more pliable but likely quicker with more volume. Ostovich has a simpler style but neither fighter is likely to land considerable damage . The strength and size for Ostovich will be a significant advantage on the earth where the two girls have a tendency to bring the battle. Vanzant is stubborn but takes risky options and leaves a great deal of openings for opponents. Ostovich can capitalise here and her exceptional control means she will spend a great deal more time on shirt or at dominant positions. Expect a back and forth fight where we get good value on the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski that the”Violence Queen” is creating her debut following an impressive run as the KSW winner. Matching up with Calderwood she has the benefit in many regions. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will probably be overpowering for Calderwood who exceeds pace and head motion. This battle is most likely to perform out on the toes but even on the mat it’s Lipski with the better abilities. Calderwood is coming off a”blessed” submission win in a fight where she was having a great deal of trouble. Over her career she’s been know to struggle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though appears to be quite durable and struggles with heart. In 24 years old she also will be showing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski at 1.53 (-188) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against a rising prospect. Hernandez brings a style that’s proven against Cowboy with his fast start and relentless pressure. If this battle goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone against the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to victory is snatching a submission off his back but that is a little chance against a strong wrestler. The energy, athleticism, childhood and style of Hernandez will be a great deal for the veteran to handle with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter and the drop back to 155lb is unlikely to assist his durability problems.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch struggle from the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through decision. Today it’s Ortiz who has shown the newest improvements in his sport, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does seem like he is slightly declining in his recent appearances. As an underdog Ortiz includes a few avenues to success. He’ll be at a disadvantage on the feet in terms of volume, but packs substantial power. Benavidez was wobbled always lately fights indicating his durability is evaporating. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the struggle since Ortiz brings a constant grinding pace. This ought to be a close fight that seems to be lined overly wide.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is moving up as a late replacement to take on the difficult veteran Glover. On the toes the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed substantially into his later years and with his durability fading his lack of head motion is evident. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not famous for his striking yet discovered enormous victory himself on the feet in his last fight against Glover. The obvious issue for Roberson is his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he should be improving here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns but if he does not get an early submission it will be tough to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can not get it to the mat his choices seem bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a solid bet.

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