The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at two p.m. ET, and every corner counts due to the tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second victory of this 2019 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be listed at 14-1 to triumph in the latest 2019 Food City 500 chances. But, there are six drivers with 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is your preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you create your own 2019 Food City 500 picks, visit the NASCAR at Bristol predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 occasions, taking factors such as track record and recent results into consideration.
The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. It was also all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender in the TicketGuardian 500 and four of the motorists at McClure’s top five went on to top-five finishes at the Auto Club 400. Anybody who has followed its selections is far up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his blood. His version simulated the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For Sunday, we can inform you that the version is high on Kurt Busch, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot 14-1 NASCAR at Bristol chances.
Busch is a six-time winner at Bristol Motor Speedway and only his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among busy NASCAR drivers. This includes a victory last August in the NASCAR at Bristol race for his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.
The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way into the front of the pack from the starting position in that race also has also already come in the 27th and 13th starting places to succeed at Bristol. He conquer Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and will start 27th on Sunday. He’s off to a hot start this year also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash in Daytona and third at Atlanta.
And a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the best Vegas favorites in 12-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better values than the 12-1 premium he is controlling.
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