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BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON FOX 30 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend we have a complimentary Card on big FOX. We’re finally getting the rematch with Dustin Poirier vs Eddie Alvarez after their first fight ended in a No Contest. These are two of the most exciting fighters in the UFC and we ought to see an wonderful struggle here. DraftKings has some decent competitions out with this card and I was amazed to see that a 20k top prize in their main tournament. That’s precisely what I will personally be chasing and I will be making a bunch of LUs to throw to that. Here are a Couple of plays I enjoy for Saturday and my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Stack (Dustin Poirier $8,800 AND Eddie Alvarez $7,400)
This is an effortless method to begin my money LU this week and I expect this to be quite popular in most cash game formats. These two were on pace to get a top scoring struggle in their first battle and I believe we’ve got a simple 100+ between the two of them here. I think the winner of this fight will score more than 100 points and then we add in all the sig strikes and other things from the loser as well. But we promise ourselves the triumph. The only way this fight doesn’t score over 100 DK points is somebody gets kneed in the head prohibited and the fight is stopped short….
GPP play of the week — Hakeem Dawodu ($9,400)
I think that this matchup was put up to get Dawodu a win. In addition, I think Islam Makhachev, who’s $200 more, will be very highly possessed and this may be a fantastic pivot off him to distinguish your LU a little bit. I really do think Dawodu will gain some good ownership too but I think he’s a solid GPP drama this week. I believe the most probable outcome in this fight is Dawodu becoming a (T)KO win. He should pay off his $9.4k salary if this is the case, particularly if it’s early. He is a very good striker and we didn’t get to find out that in his UFC debut where he had been upset very early in the struggle. This is the best match for him to flaunt his striking and why there was a lot of hype behind him moving to his introduction. I think we can see a 1st round KO here and that makes Hakeem Dawodu my GPP drama of the week.
Underdog drama of this week — Ion Cutelaba ($7,600)
The main reason Cutelaba is that my underdog drama of the week is because there’s no way he is not scoring at least 10x when he is able to get the win. He has big power and could get a 1st round KO score and here over 100 DK points. If he does that with his economical salary of $7.6k he will surely be at the winning lineup. This is a solid fight to target both sides but points per wages shrewd, Cutelaba has among those higher ceilings on the card. I don’t see this battle going to decision and the winner must score highly. I think if you’re making numerous lineups this weekend then you must definitely have vulnerability to Cutelaba.
Fade of this week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I am fading a couple of fighters this week personally, but the person I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It is not that I do not believe she can win, because she for sure can. However, I do not see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a win. I think we would need a finish from her in this struggle to receive 10x that wages and I think that’s quite unlikely to happen. The most Chookagian has scored in a UFC fight so far in her career is 83 DK points. That would not be sufficient here to place her in the winning lineup at her $8.7k price label. I think if you are earning 20 or less lineups that Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and if she’s a triumph it should not hurt much.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown with analysis on every fight, my personal approaches & suggestions, and my selection prediction for every fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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